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Prediction for CME (2015-04-06T20:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-04-06T20:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8179/-1 CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-04-10T00:00Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 6.0 Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-04-09T13:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Prediction Method Note: Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2015 Apr 07 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity remained at low levels. In addition to flare/CME from 5 April, a second event was observed from near Region 2320 (S12E22, Dai/Beta-gamma) just after 07/0200 UTC. Analysis was completed on the event once LASCO imagery became available. Both transients were loaded into an ENLIL run - suggesting a partial blow possible on 9-10 April. .Forecast... Solar activity is forecast to remain low with a slight chance for a M-class flare over the next three days (7-9 April).Lead Time: 64.65 hour(s) Difference: 11.00 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-04-07T07:21Z |
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